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ERA risk characterisation

PEC and PNEC in Pharmaceutical Environmental Risk Assessment

PEC and PNEC are central concepts in environmental risk characterisation. PEC describes predicted environmental exposure, while PNEC represents the concentration below which adverse effects are not expected under the defined assessment framework.

Key considerations

What PEC represents

Predicted environmental concentration (PEC) is an exposure estimate. Depending on the assessment stage and environmental compartment, the calculation and refinement approach can differ.

What PNEC represents

Predicted no-effect concentration (PNEC) is derived from environmental effects information using the applicable assessment methodology, including the relevant endpoint and assessment factor considerations.

How PEC and PNEC are used together

Risk characterisation compares exposure with the environmental effect threshold under the applicable framework. A ratio above or below the relevant comparison point must be interpreted in the context of the guideline, refinement approach and underlying evidence.

Why substance-specific evidence matters

Environmental fate, degradation behaviour, sorption, bioaccumulation potential and ecotoxicological endpoints can materially affect the risk characterisation. The assessment should therefore use evidence that is appropriate to the substance and regulatory question.

Documenting the conclusion

A strong ERA records the assumptions, calculations, source data and scientific rationale so the conclusion can be reviewed and reproduced within the submission context.

Primary and supporting sources
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